Errol Spence vs Mary Elizabeth Spencer

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Errol Spence

29-1-0

Mary Elizabeth Spencer

13-3-0

48%10% Draw42%

Spence

Spencer

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Errol Spence a 48% edge over Mary Elizabeth Spencer in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Errol Spence wins 97% vs Mary Elizabeth Spencer at 81%

Spence

10.0

Spencer

9.8

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Spence

0.0

Spencer

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 180cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Spence

4.0

Spencer

6.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

97% survival rate vs 81%

Spence

10.0

Spencer

8.9

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

36 years old vs 41 years old

Spence

6.8

Spencer

3.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 16 bouts

Spence

10.0

Spencer

6.3

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.