Eddie Alvarez vs David Benavidez — stats-based predictionEddie Alvarez vs David Benavidez — stats-based prediction

Eddie Alvarez vs David Benavidez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0
VS

David Benavidez

31-0-0
40%10% Draw50%
Alvarez
Benavidez
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives David Benavidez a 50% edge over Eddie Alvarez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Eddie Alvarez wins 79% vs David Benavidez at 100%

Alvarez
9.5
Benavidez
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

57% stoppage rate vs 81%

Alvarez
6.8
Benavidez
9.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 185cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Alvarez
3.0
Benavidez
7.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 100%

Alvarez
8.7
Benavidez
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 29 years old

Alvarez
3.0
Benavidez
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

38 bouts vs 31 bouts

Alvarez
10.0
Benavidez
8.5

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.