Eddie Alvarez vs Artur Beterbiev
Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability
PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
Eddie Alvarez
30-8-0VS
🇷🇺
Artur Beterbiev
22-1-048%10% Draw42%
Alvarez
Beterbiev
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage
Our stats-based model gives Eddie Alvarez a 48% edge over Artur Beterbiev in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.
Factor Analysis
Win RateWeight: ★★★
Eddie Alvarez wins 79% vs Artur Beterbiev at 96%
Alvarez
9.5
Beterbiev
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★
57% stoppage rate vs 0%
Alvarez
6.8
Beterbiev
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★
Height 175cm / 184cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm
Alvarez
3.2
Beterbiev
6.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★
79% survival rate vs 96%
Alvarez
8.7
Beterbiev
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★
38 bouts vs 23 bouts
Alvarez
10.0
Beterbiev
6.8
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★
42 years old vs 41 years old
Alvarez
3.0
Beterbiev
3.0
Ask about this fight
AI · fact-anchoredGrounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.