Dustin Poirier vs Dan Hooker

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Dustin Poirier

30-10-0

🇳🇿

Dan Hooker

24-14-0

45%10% Draw45%

Poirier

Hooker

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Dan Hooker a 45% edge over Dustin Poirier in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Dustin Poirier wins 75% vs Dan Hooker at 63%

Poirier

9.0

Hooker

7.6

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

50% stoppage rate vs 46%

Poirier

6.0

Hooker

5.5

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Poirier

3.4

Hooker

6.6

DurabilityWeight: ★★

75% survival rate vs 63%

Poirier

8.3

Hooker

6.9

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 36 years old

Poirier

5.7

Hooker

6.8

ExperienceWeight: ★★

40 bouts vs 38 bouts

Poirier

10.0

Hooker

9.6

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.