BREAKINGDeontay Wilder vs Francis Ngannou — stats-based predictionBREAKINGDeontay Wilder vs Francis Ngannou — stats-based prediction

Deontay Wilder vs Francis Ngannou

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Deontay Wilder

50-4-1
VS
🇨🇲

Francis Ngannou

18-3-0
43%10% Draw47%
Wilder
Ngannou
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Francis Ngannou a 47% edge over Deontay Wilder in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Deontay Wilder wins 91% vs Francis Ngannou at 86%

Wilder
10.0
Ngannou
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 72%

Wilder
0.0
Ngannou
8.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 202cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Wilder
6.8
Ngannou
3.2
DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 86%

Wilder
10.0
Ngannou
9.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

55 bouts vs 21 bouts

Wilder
10.0
Ngannou
5.1
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

40 years old vs 40 years old

Wilder
3.0
Ngannou
3.4
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.