Darren Till vs Luke Rockhold — stats-based predictionDarren Till vs Luke Rockhold — stats-based prediction

Darren Till vs Luke Rockhold

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Darren Till

18-5-1
VS

Luke Rockhold

16-6-0
48%10% Draw42%
Till
Rockhold
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Darren Till a 48% edge over Luke Rockhold in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Darren Till wins 75% vs Luke Rockhold at 73%

Till
9.0
Rockhold
8.7
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

56% stoppage rate vs 38%

Till
6.7
Rockhold
4.5
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 191cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Till
3.4
Rockhold
6.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 73%

Till
8.7
Rockhold
8.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

33 years old vs 42 years old

Till
9.6
Rockhold
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

24 bouts vs 22 bouts

Till
10.0
Rockhold
9.3

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.