BREAKINGCory Sandhagen vs Tony Ferguson — stats-based predictionBREAKINGCory Sandhagen vs Tony Ferguson — stats-based prediction

Cory Sandhagen vs Tony Ferguson

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Cory Sandhagen

18-6-0
VS

Tony Ferguson

26-11-0
46%10% Draw44%
Sandhagen
Ferguson
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Cory Sandhagen a 46% edge over Tony Ferguson in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Cory Sandhagen wins 75% vs Tony Ferguson at 70%

Sandhagen
9.0
Ferguson
8.4
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

44% stoppage rate vs 50%

Sandhagen
5.3
Ferguson
6.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Sandhagen
4.4
Ferguson
5.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

75% survival rate vs 70%

Sandhagen
8.3
Ferguson
7.7
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

34 years old vs 42 years old

Sandhagen
9.0
Ferguson
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

24 bouts vs 37 bouts

Sandhagen
7.2
Ferguson
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.