Conor McGregor vs Ufc Pereira — stats-based predictionConor McGregor vs Ufc Pereira — stats-based prediction

Conor McGregor vs Ufc Pereira

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0
VS

Ufc Pereira

13-3-0
42%10% Draw48%
McGregor
Pereira
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Ufc Pereira a 48% edge over Conor McGregor in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Ufc Pereira at 81%

McGregor
9.4
Pereira
9.8
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 85%

McGregor
10.0
Pereira
10.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

McGregor
1.2
Pereira
8.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 81%

McGregor
8.6
Pereira
8.9
ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 16 bouts

McGregor
10.0
Pereira
6.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 39 years old

McGregor
5.1
Pereira
4.1

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.