Conor McGregor vs Paddy Pimblett

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0

🇬🇧

Paddy Pimblett

23-4-0

46%10% Draw44%

McGregor

Pimblett

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 46% edge over Paddy Pimblett in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Paddy Pimblett at 85%

McGregor

9.4

Pimblett

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 30%

McGregor

10.0

Pimblett

3.7

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

McGregor

4.2

Pimblett

5.8

DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 85%

McGregor

8.6

Pimblett

9.4

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 31 years old

McGregor

5.2

Pimblett

8.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 27 bouts

McGregor

10.0

Pimblett

9.7

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.