Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0

Max Holloway

27-9-0

45%10% Draw45%

McGregor

Holloway

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Max Holloway a 45% edge over Conor McGregor in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Max Holloway at 75%

McGregor

9.4

Holloway

9.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 44%

McGregor

10.0

Holloway

5.3

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / 180cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

McGregor

3.8

Holloway

6.2

DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 75%

McGregor

8.6

Holloway

8.3

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 34 years old

McGregor

5.2

Holloway

8.6

ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 36 bouts

McGregor

8.2

Holloway

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.