Conor McGregor vs Ilia Topuria

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0

Ilia Topuria

17-0-0

48%10% Draw42%

McGregor

Topuria

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 48% edge over Ilia Topuria in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Ilia Topuria at 100%

McGregor

9.4

Topuria

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 41%

McGregor

10.0

Topuria

4.9

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / 170cm, Reach ?cm / 175cm

McGregor

5.8

Topuria

4.2

DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 100%

McGregor

8.6

Topuria

10.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 17 bouts

McGregor

10.0

Topuria

6.9

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 29 years old

McGregor

5.2

Topuria

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.