BREAKINGConor McGregor vs Ian Garry — stats-based predictionBREAKINGConor McGregor vs Ian Garry — stats-based prediction

Conor McGregor vs Ian Garry

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0
VS
🇮🇪

Ian Garry

17-1-0
47%10% Draw43%
McGregor
Garry
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 47% edge over Ian Garry in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Ian Garry at 94%

McGregor
9.4
Garry
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 41%

McGregor
10.0
Garry
4.9
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 94%

McGregor
8.6
Garry
10.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

McGregor
5.0
Garry
5.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 18 bouts

McGregor
10.0
Garry
7.1
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 28 years old

McGregor
5.2
Garry
8.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.