BREAKINGConor McGregor vs Ciryl Gane — stats-based predictionBREAKINGConor McGregor vs Ciryl Gane — stats-based prediction

Conor McGregor vs Ciryl Gane

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0
VS
🇫🇷

Ciryl Gane

13-2-0
44%10% Draw46%
McGregor
Gane
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Ciryl Gane a 46% edge over Conor McGregor in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Ciryl Gane at 87%

McGregor
9.4
Gane
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 46%

McGregor
10.0
Gane
5.5
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

McGregor
1.2
Gane
8.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 87%

McGregor
8.6
Gane
9.5
ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 15 bouts

McGregor
10.0
Gane
6.3
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 36 years old

McGregor
5.2
Gane
7.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.