BREAKINGConor McGregor vs Alexa Grasso — stats-based predictionBREAKINGConor McGregor vs Alexa Grasso — stats-based prediction

Conor McGregor vs Alexa Grasso

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0
VS
🇲🇽

Alexa Grasso

17-5-1
49%10% Draw41%
McGregor
Grasso
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 49% edge over Alexa Grasso in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Alexa Grasso at 74%

McGregor
9.4
Grasso
8.9
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 29%

McGregor
10.0
Grasso
3.5
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 78%

McGregor
8.6
Grasso
8.6
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

McGregor
5.0
Grasso
5.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 33 years old

McGregor
5.2
Grasso
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 23 bouts

McGregor
10.0
Grasso
8.6
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.