BREAKINGColby Covington vs Leon Edwards — stats-based predictionBREAKINGColby Covington vs Leon Edwards — stats-based prediction

Colby Covington vs Leon Edwards

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Colby Covington

17-5-0
VS
🇬🇧

Leon Edwards

22-5-0
41%10% Draw49%
Covington
Edwards
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Leon Edwards a 49% edge over Colby Covington in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Colby Covington wins 77% vs Leon Edwards at 81%

Covington
9.3
Edwards
9.8
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

24% stoppage rate vs 32%

Covington
2.8
Edwards
3.8
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 188cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Covington
3.4
Edwards
6.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

77% survival rate vs 81%

Covington
8.5
Edwards
9.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 35 years old

Covington
4.8
Edwards
8.3
ExperienceWeight: ★★

22 bouts vs 27 bouts

Covington
8.5
Edwards
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.