BREAKINGColby Covington vs Cub Swanson — stats-based predictionBREAKINGColby Covington vs Cub Swanson — stats-based prediction

Colby Covington vs Cub Swanson

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Colby Covington

17-5-0
VS

Cub Swanson

31-14-0
46%10% Draw44%
Covington
Swanson
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Colby Covington a 46% edge over Cub Swanson in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Colby Covington wins 77% vs Cub Swanson at 69%

Covington
9.3
Swanson
8.3
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

24% stoppage rate vs 48%

Covington
2.8
Swanson
5.8
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 170cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Covington
7.0
Swanson
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

77% survival rate vs 69%

Covington
8.5
Swanson
7.6
ExperienceWeight: ★★

22 bouts vs 45 bouts

Covington
5.9
Swanson
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 42 years old

Covington
4.8
Swanson
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.