Claressa Shields vs Keith Thurman — stats-based predictionClaressa Shields vs Keith Thurman — stats-based prediction

Claressa Shields vs Keith Thurman

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Claressa Shields

2-1-0
VS

Keith Thurman

34-2-0
46%10% Draw44%
Shields
Thurman
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Claressa Shields a 46% edge over Keith Thurman in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Claressa Shields wins 67% vs Keith Thurman at 94%

Shields
8.0
Thurman
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

50% stoppage rate vs 0%

Shields
6.0
Thurman
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 171cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Shields
6.4
Thurman
3.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

67% survival rate vs 94%

Shields
7.3
Thurman
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

3 bouts vs 36 bouts

Shields
2.7
Thurman
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

31 years old vs 37 years old

Shields
8.0
Thurman
5.5

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.