Christian Edwards vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov — stats-based predictionChristian Edwards vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov — stats-based prediction

Christian Edwards vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Christian Edwards

19-2-0
VS
🇷🇺

Abubakar Nurmagomedov

17-4-1
44%10% Draw46%
Edwards
Nurmagomedov
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Abubakar Nurmagomedov a 46% edge over Christian Edwards in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Christian Edwards wins 90% vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov at 77%

Edwards
10.0
Nurmagomedov
9.3
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

16% stoppage rate vs 35%

Edwards
1.9
Nurmagomedov
4.2
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 182cm, Reach 183cm / ?cm

Edwards
3.6
Nurmagomedov
6.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

90% survival rate vs 82%

Edwards
10.0
Nurmagomedov
9.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

33 years old vs 37 years old

Edwards
9.5
Nurmagomedov
6.5
ExperienceWeight: ★★

21 bouts vs 22 bouts

Edwards
9.6
Nurmagomedov
10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.