Calvin Kattar vs Ryan Garcia

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Calvin Kattar

23-10-0

Ryan Garcia

28-2-0

46%10% Draw44%

Kattar

Garcia

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Calvin Kattar a 46% edge over Ryan Garcia in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Calvin Kattar wins 70% vs Ryan Garcia at 93%

Kattar

8.4

Garcia

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

48% stoppage rate vs 0%

Kattar

5.7

Garcia

0.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

70% survival rate vs 93%

Kattar

7.7

Garcia

10.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Kattar

5.4

Garcia

4.6

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 28 years old

Kattar

4.9

Garcia

8.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

33 bouts vs 30 bouts

Kattar

10.0

Garcia

9.3

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.