Benjamin Whittaker vs Israel Adesanya — stats-based predictionBenjamin Whittaker vs Israel Adesanya — stats-based prediction

Benjamin Whittaker vs Israel Adesanya

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Benjamin Whittaker

12-0-1
VS
🇳🇿

Israel Adesanya

24-6-0
45%10% Draw45%
Whittaker
Adesanya
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Israel Adesanya a 45% edge over Benjamin Whittaker in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Benjamin Whittaker wins 92% vs Israel Adesanya at 80%

Whittaker
10.0
Adesanya
9.6
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

67% stoppage rate vs 67%

Whittaker
8.0
Adesanya
8.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 80%

Whittaker
10.0
Adesanya
8.8
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height ?cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Whittaker
5.0
Adesanya
5.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

13 bouts vs 30 bouts

Whittaker
5.5
Adesanya
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

29 years old vs 37 years old

Whittaker
8.0
Adesanya
6.2

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.