Belal Muhammad vs Colby Covington

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Belal Muhammad

24-5-0

Colby Covington

17-5-0

46%10% Draw44%

Muhammad

Covington

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Belal Muhammad a 46% edge over Colby Covington in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Belal Muhammad wins 83% vs Colby Covington at 77%

Muhammad

9.9

Covington

9.3

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

21% stoppage rate vs 24%

Muhammad

2.5

Covington

2.8

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 180cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Muhammad

4.6

Covington

5.4

DurabilityWeight: ★★

83% survival rate vs 77%

Muhammad

9.1

Covington

8.5

ExperienceWeight: ★★

29 bouts vs 22 bouts

Muhammad

10.0

Covington

8.1

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 38 years old

Muhammad

5.2

Covington

4.8

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.