BREAKINGBec Rodriguez vs Dricus du Plessis — stats-based predictionBREAKINGBec Rodriguez vs Dricus du Plessis — stats-based prediction

Bec Rodriguez vs Dricus du Plessis

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇦🇺

Bec Rodriguez

8-9-0
VS
🇿🇦

Dricus du Plessis

23-3-0
33%4% Draw63%
Rodriguez
Plessis
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Dricus du Plessis a 63% edge over Bec Rodriguez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision with the favourite controlling the action.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Bec Rodriguez wins 47% vs Dricus du Plessis at 88%

Rodriguez
5.6
Plessis
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

13% stoppage rate vs 39%

Rodriguez
1.5
Plessis
4.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 168cm / 185cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Rodriguez
1.6
Plessis
8.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

47% survival rate vs 88%

Rodriguez
5.2
Plessis
9.7
ExperienceWeight: ★★

17 bouts vs 26 bouts

Rodriguez
7.2
Plessis
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 32 years old

Rodriguez
5.8
Plessis
8.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.