Artur Beterbiev vs Carlos Condit — stats-based predictionArtur Beterbiev vs Carlos Condit — stats-based prediction

Artur Beterbiev vs Carlos Condit

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇷🇺

Artur Beterbiev

22-1-0
VS

Carlos Condit

32-14-0
41%10% Draw49%
Beterbiev
Condit
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Carlos Condit a 49% edge over Artur Beterbiev in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Artur Beterbiev wins 96% vs Carlos Condit at 70%

Beterbiev
10.0
Condit
8.3
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 47%

Beterbiev
0.0
Condit
5.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

96% survival rate vs 70%

Beterbiev
10.0
Condit
7.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 184cm / 188cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Beterbiev
4.2
Condit
5.8
ExperienceWeight: ★★

23 bouts vs 46 bouts

Beterbiev
6.0
Condit
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

41 years old vs 42 years old

Beterbiev
3.0
Condit
3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.