Arslanbek Makhmudov vs Dmitry Bivol — stats-based predictionArslanbek Makhmudov vs Dmitry Bivol — stats-based prediction

Arslanbek Makhmudov vs Dmitry Bivol

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Arslanbek Makhmudov

24-3-0
VS

Dmitry Bivol

25-1-0
48%10% Draw42%
Makhmudov
Bivol
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Arslanbek Makhmudov a 48% edge over Dmitry Bivol in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Arslanbek Makhmudov wins 89% vs Dmitry Bivol at 96%

Makhmudov
10.0
Bivol
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Makhmudov
0.0
Bivol
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 197cm / 183cm, Reach 194cm / ?cm

Makhmudov
7.0
Bivol
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

89% survival rate vs 96%

Makhmudov
9.8
Bivol
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 35 years old

Makhmudov
8.0
Bivol
7.6
ExperienceWeight: ★★

27 bouts vs 26 bouts

Makhmudov
10.0
Bivol
9.7

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.