Arman Tsarukyan vs Ilia Topuria — stats-based predictionArman Tsarukyan vs Ilia Topuria — stats-based prediction

Arman Tsarukyan vs Ilia Topuria

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Arman Tsarukyan

23-3-0
VS

Ilia Topuria

17-0-0
46%10% Draw44%
Tsarukyan
Topuria
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Arman Tsarukyan a 46% edge over Ilia Topuria in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Arman Tsarukyan wins 88% vs Ilia Topuria at 100%

Tsarukyan
10.0
Topuria
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

39% stoppage rate vs 41%

Tsarukyan
4.7
Topuria
4.9
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 100%

Tsarukyan
9.7
Topuria
10.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 170cm, Reach ?cm / 175cm

Tsarukyan
5.0
Topuria
5.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

26 bouts vs 17 bouts

Tsarukyan
10.0
Topuria
7.2
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 29 years old

Tsarukyan
8.0
Topuria
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.