Antonio Tarver vs David Benavidez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Antonio Tarver

39-6-1

David Benavidez

31-0-0

39%10% Draw51%

Tarver

Benavidez

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives David Benavidez a 51% edge over Antonio Tarver in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Antonio Tarver wins 85% vs David Benavidez at 100%

Tarver

10.0

Benavidez

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 81%

Tarver

0.0

Benavidez

9.7

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 185cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Tarver

5.6

Benavidez

4.4

DurabilityWeight: ★★

87% survival rate vs 100%

Tarver

9.6

Benavidez

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

57 years old vs 29 years old

Tarver

3.0

Benavidez

8.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

46 bouts vs 31 bouts

Tarver

10.0

Benavidez

7.4

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.