Andrey Koreshkov vs Royce Gracie

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇷🇺

Andrey Koreshkov

29-6-0

🇧🇷

Royce Gracie

15-2-3

51%10% Draw39%

Koreshkov

Gracie

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Andrey Koreshkov a 51% edge over Royce Gracie in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Andrey Koreshkov wins 83% vs Royce Gracie at 75%

Koreshkov

9.9

Gracie

9.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

52% stoppage rate vs 13%

Koreshkov

6.2

Gracie

1.6

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 185cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Koreshkov

5.4

Gracie

4.6

DurabilityWeight: ★★

83% survival rate vs 90%

Koreshkov

9.1

Gracie

9.9

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

36 years old vs 59 years old

Koreshkov

7.3

Gracie

3.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

35 bouts vs 20 bouts

Koreshkov

10.0

Gracie

6.6

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.