Aljamain Sterling vs Petr Yan
Stats-based fight prediction ยท Factor analysis ยท Win probability
PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
Aljamain Sterling
24-5-0VS
๐ท๐บ
Petr Yan
20-4-042%10% Draw48%
Sterling
Yan
Predicted outcome: Decision
Our stats-based model gives Petr Yan a 48% edge over Aljamain Sterling in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.
Factor Analysis
Win RateWeight: โ
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Aljamain Sterling wins 83% vs Petr Yan at 83%
Sterling
9.9
Yan
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: โ
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13% stoppage rate vs 35%
Sterling
1.5
Yan
4.2
Physical AttributesWeight: โ
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Height 170cm / 171cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm
Sterling
4.8
Yan
5.2
DurabilityWeight: โ
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83% survival rate vs 83%
Sterling
9.1
Yan
9.2
Age & PrimeWeight: โ
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37 years old vs 33 years old
Sterling
6.3
Yan
9.8
ExperienceWeight: โ
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29 bouts vs 24 bouts
Sterling
10.0
Yan
8.6
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.