Aljamain Sterling vs Leon Edwards

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Aljamain Sterling

24-5-0

🇬🇧

Leon Edwards

22-5-0

40%10% Draw50%

Sterling

Edwards

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Leon Edwards a 50% edge over Aljamain Sterling in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Aljamain Sterling wins 83% vs Leon Edwards at 81%

Sterling

9.9

Edwards

9.8

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

13% stoppage rate vs 32%

Sterling

1.5

Edwards

3.8

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 188cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Sterling

1.4

Edwards

8.6

DurabilityWeight: ★★

83% survival rate vs 81%

Sterling

9.1

Edwards

9.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 35 years old

Sterling

6.3

Edwards

8.3

ExperienceWeight: ★★

29 bouts vs 27 bouts

Sterling

10.0

Edwards

9.4

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.