Aljamain Sterling vs Brian Ortega

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Aljamain Sterling

24-5-0

Brian Ortega

16-5-0

44%10% Draw46%

Sterling

Ortega

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Brian Ortega a 46% edge over Aljamain Sterling in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Aljamain Sterling wins 83% vs Brian Ortega at 76%

Sterling

9.9

Ortega

9.1

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

13% stoppage rate vs 19%

Sterling

1.5

Ortega

2.3

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Sterling

3.4

Ortega

6.6

DurabilityWeight: ★★

83% survival rate vs 76%

Sterling

9.1

Ortega

8.4

ExperienceWeight: ★★

29 bouts vs 21 bouts

Sterling

10.0

Ortega

7.8

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 35 years old

Sterling

6.3

Ortega

7.8

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.