BREAKINGAlexander Volkanovski vs Francis Ngannou — stats-based predictionBREAKINGAlexander Volkanovski vs Francis Ngannou — stats-based prediction

Alexander Volkanovski vs Francis Ngannou

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇦🇺

Alexander Volkanovski

28-4-0
VS
🇨🇲

Francis Ngannou

18-3-0
41%10% Draw49%
Volkanovski
Ngannou
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Francis Ngannou a 49% edge over Alexander Volkanovski in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Alexander Volkanovski wins 88% vs Francis Ngannou at 86%

Volkanovski
10.0
Ngannou
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

46% stoppage rate vs 72%

Volkanovski
5.6
Ngannou
8.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 168cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Volkanovski
1.0
Ngannou
10.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 86%

Volkanovski
9.6
Ngannou
9.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

32 bouts vs 21 bouts

Volkanovski
10.0
Ngannou
7.3
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 40 years old

Volkanovski
5.4
Ngannou
3.4
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.