Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Shara Magomedov — stats-based predictionAbubakar Nurmagomedov vs Shara Magomedov — stats-based prediction

Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Shara Magomedov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH
🇷🇺

Abubakar Nurmagomedov

17-4-1
VS

Shara Magomedov

16-1-0
41%10% Draw49%
Nurmagomedov
Magomedov
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Shara Magomedov a 49% edge over Abubakar Nurmagomedov in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Abubakar Nurmagomedov wins 77% vs Shara Magomedov at 94%

Nurmagomedov
9.3
Magomedov
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

35% stoppage rate vs 75%

Nurmagomedov
4.2
Magomedov
9.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 182cm / 188cm, Reach ?cm / 185cm

Nurmagomedov
3.8
Magomedov
6.2
DurabilityWeight: ★★

82% survival rate vs 94%

Nurmagomedov
9.0
Magomedov
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

22 bouts vs 17 bouts

Nurmagomedov
10.0
Magomedov
8.2
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 32 years old

Nurmagomedov
6.5
Magomedov
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.