UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry — UK Odds
UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry priced across every UK-licensed sportsbook we track. Decimal odds by default; fractional and American on each headline card for cross-reference. Shop around — even a fifteen-pence difference on a fiver stake pays out over a year of betting.
Islam Makhachev brings both lightweight and welterweight titles into this one, a two-weight champion with a 28-1 record and a 16-fight win streak tied for the longest in UFC history. Ian Machado Garry is 17-1, the lone blemish a December 2024 decision loss to Shavkat Rakhmonov in a title eliminator, and he's back with two straight unanimous wins over Prates and Muhammad. Makhachev won the welterweight strap in November 2025 by decisioning Jack Della Maddalena on his 170lb debut; Garry is the un…
Style read
Makhachev is the sambo world champion and submission specialist — 13 of his 28 wins by sub, including four consecutive lightweight title defences finished by choke. Garry is the taller, rangier striker at 191cm to Makhachev's 178cm, a 13cm height gap that's enormous at welterweight, and he's gone t…
How each fighter wins
Makhachev wins if he closes distance, gets the clinch, and drags this to the mat. His brabo choke stopped Moicano in round one and Poirier in round five — he finds it everywhere. The height disadvantage is real, but Makhachev walked through Volkanovski twice and Della Maddalena once at ranges that didn't suit him. If he gets top position, Garry has to survive 25 minutes of suffocation.
Garry wins if he uses the 13cm height edge and keeps this at kicking range. He's 7-1 by knockout and went five hard rounds with Rakhmonov, so the cardio is there. Makhachev's knockout rate is 18 per cent to Garry's 41 — the Irishman has real power and Makhachev has been stopped once in his career, the sole loss on his ledger. If Garry can stuff takedowns and land the straight left over 25 minutes…
Key stats
- ▸Makhachev 28-1, 16-fight win streak tied for longest in UFC history
- ▸Garry 17-1, sole loss to Rakhmonov on 7 December 2024
- ▸Height gap: Garry +13cm (191cm to 178cm)
- ▸Makhachev: 13 submission wins, 4 consecutive lightweight title defences by choke
- ▸KO rate: Makhachev 18%, Garry 41%
- ▸Distance rate: Makhachev 36%, Garry 53%
The read
Deep-stats read on both fighters — how they win, how durable they are, and where the numbers actually diverge. Data pulled from Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry's career records — not opinion.
How they win
Makhachev finishes early. 5 of Makhachev's 5 stoppage wins on record have come inside three rounds — that's 100% of the KOs.
Makhachev has been stopped once in 29 fights — an outlier night against an opponent well outside the division. Durability holds up in this weight class.
Garry finishes early. 7 of Garry's 7 stoppage wins on record have come inside three rounds — that's 100% of the KOs.
Garry has never been stopped in 18 professional fights. Chin isn't the question — the question is whether Garry does enough to win rounds.
Form and activity
Makhachev comes in on a 16-fight win streak.
Style and physicals
Garry is 13cm taller.
KO rounds — where the stoppages land
| Round | Islam Makhachev | Ian Machado Garry |
|---|---|---|
| Round 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Round 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Round 3 | 0 | 1 |
Career KO/TKO wins by finishing round, pulled from fight-record history. Use these when weighing a round-group prop.
UK best price
UK bookmakers haven't posted a price for this fight yet. Check back closer to bell time.
Where the value usually sits
On UK-licensed boxing markets the spread between the best and worst price across the book set typically sits at 3–7% of the payout. On a £50 stake that's the difference between £83 and £87 returned — hardly life-changing on a single bet, but it compounds hard over a full year of fight cards. If you only have one book's app open, you're bleeding a few percent every card.
Betfair Exchange usually has the best price on heavy favourites because the 5% commission model beats the traditional book's implicit vig. bet365 and Sky Bet trade the top spot on domestic main events — Sky when Matchroom is on the marquee, bet365 otherwise. Paddy Power ships the loudest boosts on heavyweight fights.
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