UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry betting preview — odds, best bets and propsUFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry betting preview — odds, best bets and props
MMA· Xfinity Mobile Arena· Philadelphia

UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry — Betting Preview

Everything you need to bet UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry: moneyline odds across DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; our editorial best bets and value picks; and a full breakdown of the prop markets so you can find the highest-EV angle on the card.

Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry

Date
15 August 2026
Venue
Xfinity Mobile Arena
City
Philadelphia
Broadcast
Paramount+

Main card

  1. 1Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry· welterweight
  2. 1Ian Machado Garry vs Islam Makhachev· welterweight
  3. 2Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson
  4. 3Jalin Turner vs Kauê Fernandes· lightweight
  5. 3Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj· welterweight
  6. 3Geoff Neal vs Chidi Njokuani· welterweight

Full card and undercard on the event page.

Islam Makhachev brings both lightweight and welterweight titles into this one, a two-weight champion with a 28-1 record and a 16-fight win streak tied for the longest in UFC history. Ian Machado Garry is 17-1, the lone blemish a December 2024 decision loss to Shavkat Rakhmonov in a title eliminator, and he's back with two straight unanimous wins over Prates and Muhammad. Makhachev won the welterweight strap in November 2025 by decisioning Jack Della Maddalena on his 170lb debut; Garry is the un…

Style read

Makhachev is the sambo world champion and submission specialist — 13 of his 28 wins by sub, including four consecutive lightweight title defences finished by choke. Garry is the taller, rangier striker at 191cm to Makhachev's 178cm, a 13cm height gap that's enormous at welterweight, and he's gone t…

How each fighter wins

Islam Makhachev

Makhachev wins if he closes distance, gets the clinch, and drags this to the mat. His brabo choke stopped Moicano in round one and Poirier in round five — he finds it everywhere. The height disadvantage is real, but Makhachev walked through Volkanovski twice and Della Maddalena once at ranges that didn't suit him. If he gets top position, Garry has to survive 25 minutes of suffocation.

Ian Machado Garry

Garry wins if he uses the 13cm height edge and keeps this at kicking range. He's 7-1 by knockout and went five hard rounds with Rakhmonov, so the cardio is there. Makhachev's knockout rate is 18 per cent to Garry's 41 — the Irishman has real power and Makhachev has been stopped once in his career, the sole loss on his ledger. If Garry can stuff takedowns and land the straight left over 25 minutes…

Key stats

  • Makhachev 28-1, 16-fight win streak tied for longest in UFC history
  • Garry 17-1, sole loss to Rakhmonov on 7 December 2024
  • Height gap: Garry +13cm (191cm to 178cm)
  • Makhachev: 13 submission wins, 4 consecutive lightweight title defences by choke
  • KO rate: Makhachev 18%, Garry 41%
  • Distance rate: Makhachev 36%, Garry 53%

Moneyline odds

Compared across major US sportsbooks. Prices refresh hourly.

SportsbookIslam MakhachevIan Machado GarryBet
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BetMGMTrack odds
Prices post closer to fight night. Bookmark this page — the table fills in automatically as odds go live.

Makhachev vs Machado Garry — two-weight champion against the unbeaten welterweight

Boxing News Staff · Updated 7 August 2026

  1. LeanMoneylinevia market pending

    Makhachev to win

    TBD

    The two-weight champion has won 16 straight, four of them lightweight title defences finished by submission. Garry is the bigger man and the better striker, but Makhachev's sambo pedigree and ability to find the choke from anywhere makes him the safer side when the market opens.

Editorial picks — not financial advice. 21+ · Gamble responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Prop bets & method markets

Method of victory, round groups, KO / decision splits and more — the full board of prop markets for this fight, each with our editorial angle where we've got one.

Full prop-market breakdown →

How to bet on UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry

MMA markets settle a little differently to major-league sports — a few basics that pay off before you place a bet:

  • Moneyline — a straight pick on the winner. A negative price (e.g. −180) is the favourite; a positive price (+150) is the underdog.
  • Method of victory — KO/TKO, submission (MMA only), decision, or DQ. Reads like a moneyline but only cashes if your fighter wins by the exact method you picked.
  • Total rounds (over / under) — a bet on how long the fight lasts. In MMA, three-round fights typically price around 1.5 or 2.5 rounds; championship five-round fights price around 3.5 or 4.5.
  • Round group / round betting — a bet on the specific round or a bracket of rounds the fight ends in. Long odds, high variance — a small-stake / high-reward market.
  • Prop bets— everything else: knockdowns, judges' scorecards, "fight goes the distance", combined significant strikes. Props settle on the fighter's performance rather than the raw result.

Always compare the same market across multiple sportsbooks before placing a bet — prices routinely differ by a full point or more, especially on method and prop markets.