Williamson vs Simpson II betting preview — odds, best bets and propsWilliamson vs Simpson II betting preview — odds, best bets and props
BOXING· First Direct Arena· Leeds

Williamson vs Simpson II — Betting Preview

Everything you need to bet Williamson vs Simpson II: moneyline odds across DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; our editorial best bets and value picks; and a full breakdown of the prop markets so you can find the highest-EV angle on the card.

Troy Williamson vs Callum Simpson

Date
8 August 2026
Venue
First Direct Arena
City
Leeds
Broadcast
DAZN

Main card

  1. 1Troy Williamson vs Callum Simpson· super-middleweight

Full card and undercard on the event page.

On 20 December 2025, Troy Williamson stopped Callum Simpson in round ten to take the British, Commonwealth and European super-middleweight belts off the Barnsley man. Four months later they run it back at the First Direct Arena with the same straps on the line. Simpson was unbeaten going into that fight and building a solid European-level résumé — Zak Chelli on points, Steed Woodall inside two, Elvis Ahorgah in five — but Williamson found the answer late. Now Simpson gets the immediate rematch…

Style read

Both are orthodox boxers who go the distance almost exclusively — neither man has a knockout on their card despite 27 and 19 wins respectively. Williamson is the shorter man by 11cm but historically walks opponents down, while Simpson uses his 191cm reach to box behind the jab. The question is whet…

How each fighter wins

Troy Williamson

Williamson's path is the one he already walked: break Simpson down over the championship rounds and force the stoppage late. He's 27-4-1 with four losses and a draw on his ledger, but he got the belts off Simpson in their last meeting and knows he can find the body work or accumulation that gets the ref to step in. If Simpson tires again, Williamson finishes him again.

Callum Simpson

Simpson wins if he boxes at range for all twelve and doesn't let Williamson smother him. He's 19-1 now, that one loss being Williamson, and before December he'd stopped three straight including a tenth-round retirement from Ivan Zucco for the European belt. If he keeps Williamson on the end of his jab and doesn't get drawn into the trenches, he can outpoint him. The size advantage is real — he ju…

Key stats

  • Height advantage: Simpson +11cm (191cm vs 180cm)
  • Simpson's only career loss: Williamson TKO10, December 2025
  • Williamson 27-4-1, 0% KO rate; Simpson 19-1, 0% KO rate
  • Simpson stopped 3 of last 4 before the Williamson loss (Woodall KO2, Ahorgah TKO5, Zucco TKO10)
  • Williamson took British, Commonwealth and European belts in first meeting

Moneyline odds

Compared across major US sportsbooks. Prices refresh hourly.

SportsbookTroy WilliamsonCallum SimpsonDrawBet
DraftKingsTrack odds
FanDuelTrack odds
BetMGMTrack odds
Prices post closer to fight night. Bookmark this page — the table fills in automatically as odds go live.

Williamson vs Simpson II — four months after the stoppage, Barnsley tries again

Boxing News Staff · Updated 7 August 2026

  1. LeanMoneylinevia market pending

    Williamson to win

    TBD

    He's already solved Simpson once and the stoppage wasn't controversial — Simpson's corner pulled him after ten. The height and reach gap didn't matter in December when Williamson walked through it, and there's no evidence Simpson's made the adjustments needed to keep him off for twelve rounds. Lean to the champion repeating.

Editorial picks — not financial advice. 21+ · Gamble responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Prop bets & method markets

Method of victory, round groups, KO / decision splits and more — the full board of prop markets for this fight, each with our editorial angle where we've got one.

Full prop-market breakdown →

How to bet on Williamson vs Simpson II

Boxing markets settle a little differently to major-league sports — a few basics that pay off before you place a bet:

  • Moneyline — a straight pick on the winner. A negative price (e.g. −180) is the favourite; a positive price (+150) is the underdog.
  • Method of victory — KO/TKO, submission (MMA only), decision, or DQ. Reads like a moneyline but only cashes if your fighter wins by the exact method you picked.
  • Total rounds (over / under) — a bet on how long the fight lasts. In boxing, a 12-round title fight typically prices around 9.5 rounds. Over hits if the fight finishes in the second half of round 10 or later.
  • Round group / round betting — a bet on the specific round or a bracket of rounds the fight ends in. Long odds, high variance — a small-stake / high-reward market.
  • Prop bets— everything else: knockdowns, judges' scorecards, "fight goes the distance", combined significant strikes. Props settle on the fighter's performance rather than the raw result.

Always compare the same market across multiple sportsbooks before placing a bet — prices routinely differ by a full point or more, especially on method and prop markets.