UFC 325 – Rafael Fiziev vs Mauricio Ruffy: Preview & Betting Tips

January 26, 2026
1 month
Rafael Fiziev vs Mauricio Ruffy preview and betting tips

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The lightweight matchup between Rafael Fiziev and Mauricio Ruffy takes place at UFC 325 in what’s one of the best striker-vs-striker matchups in the division.

Fiziev (13-4) has built his reputation as one of the cleanest and most technically refined strikers in the UFC’s lightweight division. With a background in Muay Thai and an elite sense of timing, Fiziev fights with balance, discipline, and creativity.

Ruffy (12-2) enters the fight with momentum and confidence. Known for his aggressive style and highlight-reel finishes, Ruffy fights with the intention of overwhelming opponents and then finishing them.

Tale of the Tape

Rafael Fiziev – Odds 2.00 (Sky Bet)

Record: 13-4

Age: 32

Height: 5ft7

Reach: 72”

Weight: Lightweight 

Stance: Switch 

Mauricio Ruffy – Odds 1.80 (Sky Bet)

Record: 12-2

Age: 29

Height: 5ft9

Reach: 75”

Weight: Lightweight 

Stance: Orthodox 

Rafael Fiziev vs Mauricio Ruffy: Analysis

Fiziev’s kicks are fast and punishing, his counters are sharp, and his defensive awareness allows him to avoid unnecessary damage. What separates Fiziev from many strikers is his composure under pressure. He rarely overextends, even when opponents push the pace. 

Instead, he stays calm, waits for openings, and punishes mistakes. His ability to check kicks, pivot out of danger, and reset exchanges makes him a difficult puzzle to solve.

Ruffy, on the other hand, throws with power, mixes up his attacks, and is willing to take risks to land big shots. He doesn’t give opponents much time to settle, and his offensive variety can create chaos. Against less experienced fighters, that approach has produced quick and emphatic finishes. However, against someone as technically sound as Fiziev, that aggression may be tested.

Stylistically, this fight is likely to be decided by who controls tempo and range. Fiziev will want to keep the fight at kickboxing distance, using his movement and counters to pick Ruffy apart. Whereas Ruffy will aim to close the distance, force exchanges, and make the fight uncomfortable.

Fiziev vs Ruffy: Prediction & Betting Tips

If Fiziev can slow the pace and make Ruffy miss, the fight could tilt heavily in his favor. Ruffy’s aggressive style leaves openings, and Fiziev is excellent at capitalising on mistakes.

However, Ruffy’s power cannot be ignored. Fiziev has shown toughness, but he has also been in hard fights where damage accumulates. If Ruffy can land clean early and force Fiziev onto the defensive, the fight could become extremely interesting. 

Cardio is another key factor as Fiziev has shown he can maintain a high level of technique over multiple rounds, while Ruffy’s ability to sustain his pace at the elite level remains a question mark.

If the fight goes into the later rounds, Fiziev’s efficiency should get him over the line, and for that reason alone I’m taking Rafael Fiziev moneyline at odds of 2.00 (Sky Bet).

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