Munguia Attempts to Break Down Durable Ryder in Championship Bout

January 26, 2024
1 month

Jaime Munguia badly wants to earn a shot at winning the world super middleweight title. Supposedly, his team has received a call from Canelo Alvarez’s team to try to set up a fight. His fight with John Ryder this weekend will allow him to make his case further. The WBC ranks Munguia as the second-ranked contender, while Ryder is No. 8.

Ryder is coming off a decision loss to Alvarez. Ryder, a British fighter, is a solid stepping stone to a more significant opportunity for Munguia. While Ryder has picked up many victories during his career, he hasn’t found much success against other top contenders. Munguia is a favorite to get the job done at the Footprint Center this Saturday in Phoenix, Arizona.

Munguia is a healthy favorite, but there are plenty of ways to get the card for people looking to get money on the fights. Online boxing news shows this is a fight that could be one where both men have a long back-and-forth affair.

Munguia Hasn’t Been Toppled

Munguia is a -375 favorite on the three-way moneyline. Anyone who wants to bet on the three-way money line takes on some extra risk. A bet on Munguia would be graded as a loser if the fight ends in a draw.

Munguia is a big favorite because of his ring success and entertaining fighting style. During fights, Munguia is willing to stay in the pocket and attempt to wade through danger to land his offense. That has resulted in Munguia finding a way to stop many of his opponents.

Munguia is 42-0 as a professional, with 33 knockouts. Munguia broke through on the world stage in May 2018. He beat Sadam Ali by TKO to win the WBO light middleweight title. Munguia defended that championship belt five times before pursuing championship belts in heavier weight classes.

Ryder Hasn’t Found a Way to Stay on Top

Ryder, 35, has had several chances to cement his status atop the boxing world. He may never have an opportunity again like he did in his last fight against Alvarez. Ryder challenged Alvarez for the WBA (Super), WBC, IBF and WBO titles.

Things didn’t go well for Ryder. Many fighters have seen their title hopes dashed by Alvarez over the years. Alvarez crunched Ryder’s nose in the third round while being knocked down in the fifth round.

Ryder displayed what makes him so highly ranked, which is his toughness. He found his way to the final bell but lost on all three judges’ scorecards. Ryder is 32-6 in his career and has been knocked out only once. 

Will Ryder’s Toughness Carry this Fight?

Betting on the moneyline in this fight is too expensive for a straight. It’s better to take a look at some of the prop options to try and get a better number. Munguia is an aggressive fighter who likes to wade in and try to create chaos.

Ryder is more comfortable at range. With the style matchup, bookmakers have made the fight -210 to go over 10.5 rounds, while the under is set at +148. Neither one of those numbers is particularly appetizing either. For an over/under to win in boxing, the half-round number is the 2-minute, 30-second mark of each round.

Depending on the house rules of each sportsbook, if the fight were to be stopped precisely halfway through the round, it would be graded as a push or a losing bet. With sports like boxing, it is important to read the house rules to ensure the wager you place is correct.

Munguia to win by knockout, TKO, or disqualification is +190, while Munguia to win by decision is +102. Ryder to win by KO, TKO, or DQ pays out at +650. The match to end in a draw is +1500.

How to Bet the Main Event 

Munguia is an action fighter who is willing to push the pace. Ryder doesn’t necessarily enjoy getting dragged out of his comfort zone. At the same time, Ryder may not quite be at the championship level of some of his peers. This is a fight where it is worth betting on the prop for Munguia to win by decision at plus money. A flier on him to win by KO may be worth a look as well.

Fundora Heavy Favorite to Win IBF Flyweight Title

Gabriela Fundora has been nearly untouchable during the early part of her professional boxing career. Fundora has a 12-0 record and is a heavy favorite against Christina Cruz for the flyweight title. Cruz, a Puerto Rican boxer, is also undefeated, only having six professional fights under her belt and is 41 years old.

Fundora, who is 21, is hoping this is the start of a long run in the sport. While Cruz doesn’t have many professional fights, she does have a lot of experience in the amateur ranks. Fundora is -1667 on the three-way moneyline.

Cruz is +1100 to win, while the match is +1800 to end in a draw. This fight is also expected to go late into the bout. The over/under is set at 8.5 rounds.

Fundora is -235 to win by decision and is likely the safest play. Making a pick on this fight would better be done as a parlay with another fight on the card.

Collazo Set to Fight for Title

Oscar Collazo is supposed to do a lot of damage as he defends his WBO world mini flyweight championship against Reyneris Gutierrez. Collazo is an absurd -3000 to win the fight. He is -600 to win by knockout.

This is a match where it may be better to bet a time prop; the price for the fight to end in under 6.5 rounds at -135. This is a fight where picking a side doesn’t have much value unless you love the underdog. Bet on this one to end inside of 6.5 rounds.

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By Dean McHugh.