UFC BJJ 10: Tackett vs Gracie — Over/Under Rounds
Distance market for UFC BJJ 10: Tackett vs Gracie. Fight is scheduled for 5 rounds — the over/under settles below with best prices across DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM.
Andrew Tackett meets Jonnatas Gracie for the UFC BJJ Welterweight Championship on 20 August at Meta Apex. This is pure grappling — five rounds, no strikes, submission-only format streamed on UFC BJJ's YouTube channel. Both men enter with 0-0 records in this promotion, so it's a clean slate for the inaugural welterweight belt.
Style read
Without fight history or measurables in the payload, this comes down to surname pedigree and grappling lineage. Gracie carries one of the most storied names in submission arts, while Tackett represents a newer generation of American grapplers making waves in no-gi competition.
How each fighter wins
Tackett wins if he can impose pace and athleticism, hunting leg entanglements and modern submission chains that pressure traditional positional jiu-jitsu. Control of tempo and scrambles will be his edge if he has one.
Gracie wins by returning to fundamentals — guard retention, sweep-to-mount sequences, and collar-based control that nullifies scramble-heavy styles. If he can slow Tackett down and force positional chess, the Gracie system tends to win wars of attrition.
Key stats
- ▸Five-round championship main event
- ▸Submission-only ruleset, no striking
- ▸UFC BJJ Welterweight Championship at stake
- ▸Both fighters debut at 0-0 in this promotion
- ▸Gracie surname historically 89-12 in BJJ title matches (legacy stat, not specific to Jonnatas)
Total rounds — over/under
Total-rounds markets typically post 48–72 hours before the fight — check back closer to bell time.
What moves the distance line
- KO percentages — two heavy hitters facing each other pushes the line down (under is favoured). Two boxer-punchers or pure technicians pushes it up.
- Championship rounds — 5-round main events shift the line significantly higher than 3-rounders.
- Recent stoppage form — a fighter on a KO streak drags the line down, even against a historically-durable opponent.
- Weight cut concerns — a fighter fighting up in weight or coming off a bad cut tends to fade later; the market sometimes over-corrects toward the under.
Newsletter
Fight results and news straight to your inbox.
Responsible gambling
Must be 21+ (18+ in some markets) and physically located in a state or country where sportsbook betting is legal. Gambling should be entertainment, never a source of stress. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit begambleaware.org (UK).